South Carolina
W-L: (21-34) PR = 94.5508Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Northern Kentucky HL ( 2-13, 89.5) 5- 2 213 H Northern Kentucky HL ( 2-13, 89.5) 6- 5 214 H Northern Kentucky HL ( 2-13, 89.5) 2- 3 217 H Samford SO ( 9-10, 94.7) 8- 2 218 A Jackson State SWAC ( 2- 5, 89.4) 12- 3 220 A Eastern Michigan MA ( 1- 8, 89.2) 5- 7 221 H Navy PAT ( 3- 5, 92.1) 8- 0 222 H Air Force MW ( 5-13, 94.9) 4- 2 225 H Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 8- 9 227 H Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 7- 0 228 A Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 1- 4 301 A Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 2- 7 303 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 12- 1 304 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 4- 4 307 H Princeton IVY ( 3- 9, 89.6) 10- 7 307 H Princeton IVY ( 3- 9, 89.6) 4- 3 308 H Princeton IVY ( 3- 9, 89.6) 13- 1 310 A The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 3- 8 313 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 0- 1 314 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 0- 3 315 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 3-13 317 A Sacramento State BS (12-18, 94.9) 8- 8 320 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 6-22 321 A Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 2- 8 322 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 9- 4 324 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 1- 9 327 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 2- 5 328 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 1- 3 329 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 7- 9 331 H Wofford SO ( 5- 5, 94.5) 11- 1 402 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 9- 1 403 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 3- 5 404 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 1- 4 407 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 4- 6 409 H Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 5- 4 410 H Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 1- 3 411 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 6- 4 414 H Davidson A10 ( 1- 7, 90.0) 8- 6 417 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 3- 5 418 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 0- 9 419 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 3- 4 421 H Presbyterian BSO ( 0-14, 89.9) 9- 3 424 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 10- 9 425 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 9- 4 426 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 5- 9 428 H The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 0- 4 502 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 1- 6 502 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 3- 7 503 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 0- 7 508 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 3- 8 509 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 6- 9 510 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 6- 7 512 H Winthrop BSO ( 6-11, 92.1) 2- 5 514 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 1- 7 515 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 5- 0 516 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 3- 5 519 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 6-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Northern Kentucky 5- 2 3 6 - -2.70
213 H Northern Kentucky 6- 5 1 6 -- -4.70
214 H Northern Kentucky 2- 3 -1 6 --- -6.70
217 H Samford 8- 2 6 0 ++ 5.52
218 A Jackson State 12- 3 9 4 ++ 4.51
220 A Eastern Michigan 5- 7 -2 5 --- -6.63
221 H Navy 8- 0 8 3 ++ 4.83
222 H Air Force 4- 2 2 0 1.67
225 H Queens University 8- 9 -1 5 --- -6.45
227 H Clemson 7- 0 7 0 +++ 7.42
228 A Clemson 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.23
301 A Clemson 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.23
303 A UAB 12- 1 11 -1 +++ 12.00
304 A Rice 4- 4 0 0 0.46
307 H Princeton 10- 7 3 6 - -2.67
307 H Princeton 4- 3 1 6 -- -4.67
308 H Princeton 13- 1 12 6 +++ 6.33
310 A The Citadel 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.93
314 A Florida 0- 3 -3 -4 1.39
315 A Florida 3-13 -10 -4 -- -5.61
317 A Sacramento State 8- 8 0 -1 0.99
320 H Arkansas 6-22 -16 -2 --- -11.71
321 A Iowa 2- 8 -6 -2 -- -4.04
322 H Arkansas 9- 4 5 -2 +++ 7.29
324 A North Carolina 1- 9 -8 -5 - -3.08
327 A Georgia 2- 5 -3 -5 + 2.07
328 A Georgia 1- 3 -2 -5 + 3.07
329 A Georgia 7- 9 -2 -5 + 3.07
331 H Wofford 11- 1 10 1 +++ 9.26
402 H Texas 9- 1 8 -4 +++ 12.24
403 H Texas 3- 5 -2 -4 + 2.24
404 H Texas 1- 4 -3 -4 1.24
407 H Charleston 4- 6 -2 2 -- -4.12
409 H Georgia Tech 5- 4 1 -5 ++ 5.67
410 H Miami of Florida 1- 3 -2 0 -1.58
411 A Missouri 6- 4 2 -1 + 2.63
414 H Davidson 8- 6 2 5 - -3.19
417 H Mississippi State 3- 5 -2 -4 + 2.11
418 H Mississippi State 0- 9 -9 -4 -- -4.89
419 H Mississippi State 3- 4 -1 -4 + 3.11
421 H Presbyterian 9- 3 6 5 0.67
424 H Kentucky 10- 9 1 -1 1.69
425 H Kentucky 9- 4 5 -1 ++ 5.69
426 H Kentucky 5- 9 -4 -1 - -3.31
428 H The Citadel 0- 4 -4 0 -- -4.29
502 A LSU 1- 6 -5 -3 -1.87
502 A LSU 3- 7 -4 -3 -0.87
503 A LSU 0- 7 -7 -3 - -3.87
508 H Alabama 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.15
509 H Alabama 6- 9 -3 -2 -1.15
510 H Alabama 6- 7 -1 -2 0.85
512 H Winthrop 2- 5 -3 3 --- -6.17
514 H Louisiana 1- 7 -6 0 --- -6.15
515 H Louisiana 5- 0 5 0 ++ 4.85
516 A Vanderbilt 3- 5 -2 -3 1.25
519 A Tennessee 6-11 -5 -3 - -2.19
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Northern Kentucky 2- 3 -1 6 --- -6.70 220 A Eastern Michigan 5- 7 -2 5 --- -6.63 225 H Queens University 8- 9 -1 5 --- -6.45 320 H Arkansas 6-22 -16 -2 --- -11.71 512 H Winthrop 2- 5 -3 3 --- -6.17 514 H Louisiana 1- 7 -6 0 --- -6.15 213 H Northern Kentucky 6- 5 1 6 -- -4.70 307 H Princeton 4- 3 1 6 -- -4.67 315 A Florida 3-13 -10 -4 -- -5.61 321 A Iowa 2- 8 -6 -2 -- -4.04 407 H Charleston 4- 6 -2 2 -- -4.12 418 H Mississippi State 0- 9 -9 -4 -- -4.89 428 H The Citadel 0- 4 -4 0 -- -4.29 213 H Northern Kentucky 5- 2 3 6 - -2.70 301 A Clemson 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.23 307 H Princeton 10- 7 3 6 - -2.67 310 A The Citadel 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.93 324 A North Carolina 1- 9 -8 -5 - -3.08 414 H Davidson 8- 6 2 5 - -3.19 426 H Kentucky 5- 9 -4 -1 - -3.31 503 A LSU 0- 7 -7 -3 - -3.87 508 H Alabama 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.15 519 A Tennessee 6-11 -5 -3 - -2.19 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 H Clemson 7- 0 7 0 +++ 7.42 303 A UAB 12- 1 11 -1 +++ 12.00 308 H Princeton 13- 1 12 6 +++ 6.33 322 H Arkansas 9- 4 5 -2 +++ 7.29 331 H Wofford 11- 1 10 1 +++ 9.26 402 H Texas 9- 1 8 -4 +++ 12.24 217 H Samford 8- 2 6 0 ++ 5.52 218 A Jackson State 12- 3 9 4 ++ 4.51 221 H Navy 8- 0 8 3 ++ 4.83 409 H Georgia Tech 5- 4 1 -5 ++ 5.67 425 H Kentucky 9- 4 5 -1 ++ 5.69 515 H Louisiana 5- 0 5 0 ++ 4.85 327 A Georgia 2- 5 -3 -5 + 2.07 328 A Georgia 1- 3 -2 -5 + 3.07 329 A Georgia 7- 9 -2 -5 + 3.07 403 H Texas 3- 5 -2 -4 + 2.24 411 A Missouri 6- 4 2 -1 + 2.63 417 H Mississippi State 3- 5 -2 -4 + 2.11 419 H Mississippi State 3- 4 -1 -4 + 3.11 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Northern Kentu ( 2-13, 89.5) 5- 2 -10.38 8.05 -0.68 0.51 7.48
3 H Northern Kentu ( 2-13, 89.5) 6- 5 -10.38 8.05 -0.68 0.51 7.48
3 H Northern Kentu ( 2-13, 89.5) 2- 3 -10.38 8.05 -0.68 0.51 -2.80
3 H Samford ( 9-10, 94.7) 8- 2 -5.15 13.27 -0.68 0.51 12.78
3 A Jackson State ( 2- 5, 89.4) 12- 3 -10.51 7.91 0.68 0.51 8.72
3 A Eastern Michig ( 1- 8, 89.2) 5- 7 -10.65 7.78 0.68 0.51 -2.53
3 H Navy ( 3- 5, 92.1) 8- 0 -7.85 10.58 -0.68 0.51 10.05
3 H Air Force ( 5-13, 94.9) 4- 2 -5.00 13.42 -0.68 0.51 12.94
3 H Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 8- 9 -10.12 8.30 -0.68 0.51 -2.74
3 H Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 7- 0 -4.26 14.17 -0.68 0.51 13.69
3 A Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 1- 4 -4.26 14.17 0.68 0.51 -0.91
3 A Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 2- 7 -4.26 14.17 0.68 0.51 -0.91
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 12- 1 -5.02 13.40 0.68 0.51 14.29
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 4- 4 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.51 0.00
3 H Princeton ( 3- 9, 89.6) 10- 7 -10.34 8.08 -0.68 0.51 7.52
3 H Princeton ( 3- 9, 89.6) 4- 3 -10.34 8.08 -0.68 0.51 7.52
3 H Princeton ( 3- 9, 89.6) 13- 1 -10.34 8.08 -0.68 0.51 7.52
3 A The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 3- 8 -4.96 13.47 0.68 0.51 -1.09
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 0- 1 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.51 -0.24
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 0- 3 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.51 -0.24
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 3-13 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.51 -0.24
3 A Sacramento Sta (12-18, 94.9) 8- 8 -5.03 13.39 0.68 0.51 0.00
3 H Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 6-22 -2.38 16.04 -0.68 0.51 -0.78
3 A Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 2- 8 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.51 -0.86
3 H Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 9- 4 -2.38 16.04 -0.68 0.51 15.59
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 1- 9 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.51 -0.11
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 2- 5 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.51 -0.07
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 1- 3 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.51 -0.07
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 7- 9 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.51 -0.07
3 H Wofford ( 5- 5, 94.5) 11- 1 -5.41 13.01 -0.68 0.51 12.52
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 9- 1 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.51 17.57
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 3- 5 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.51 -0.28
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 1- 4 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 0.51 -0.28
3 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 4- 6 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 0.51 -1.89
3 H Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 5- 4 -0.00 18.43 -0.68 0.51 18.01
3 H Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 1- 3 -4.25 14.17 -0.68 0.51 -1.25
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 6- 4 -5.40 13.03 0.68 0.51 13.91
3 H Davidson ( 1- 7, 90.0) 8- 6 -9.86 8.57 -0.68 0.51 8.01
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 3- 5 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 0.51 -0.31
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 0- 9 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 0.51 -0.31
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 3- 4 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 0.51 -0.31
3 H Presbyterian ( 0-14, 89.9) 9- 3 -10.00 8.42 -0.68 0.51 7.86
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 10- 9 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 0.51 13.97
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 9- 4 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 0.51 13.97
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 5- 9 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 0.51 -1.18
3 H The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 0- 4 -4.96 13.47 -0.68 0.51 -1.43
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 1- 6 -2.89 15.53 0.68 0.51 -0.56
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 3- 7 -2.89 15.53 0.68 0.51 -0.56
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 0- 7 -2.89 15.53 0.68 0.51 -0.56
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 3- 8 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.51 -0.89
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 6- 9 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.51 -0.89
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 6- 7 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.51 -0.89
3 H Winthrop ( 6-11, 92.1) 2- 5 -7.84 10.58 -0.68 0.51 -2.16
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 1- 7 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.51 -1.39
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 5- 0 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.51 13.12
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 3- 5 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.51 -0.53
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 6-11 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.51 -0.64
------
214.51
|
winning pts = 244.5137 losing points = -30.0042
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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